Feds Move to Block Busch (Bud Light Lime) Modelo (Corona) Merger

The Department of Justice today filed a lawsuit to block Anheuser-Busch InBev’s (ABI) proposed acquisition of total ownership and control of Grupo Modelo.

Federal officials said that the $20.1 billion transaction would substantially lessen competition in the market for beer in the United States as a whole and in 26 metropolitan areas across the United States, resulting in consumers paying more for beer and having fewer new products from which to choose.

The lawsuit was praised by the non-profit American Antitrust Institute.

“The Department of Justice rightly recognizes that this deal threatens to reduce competition in the U.S. beer industry, likely resulting in higher prices and reduced product innovation,” the Institute said in a statement.

“An independent Modelo has served as a particularly active, creative, and influential competitor in the beer industry. The Department observed in its complaint that Modelo does not follow ABI and SAB Miller on pricing and has constrained their ability to raise prices. In addition, Modelo is in the process of building the world’s largest brewery in Mexico along the Texas-Mexico border — a facility that will likely further increase its ability and incentive to compete on price. Modelo has also spurred ABI to broaden its product portfolio.”

“As the Department pointed out in its complaint, ABI launched Bud Light Lime in 2008 to challenge Corona. ABI has also studied launching other brands to compete head-to-head against Corona and other Modelo brands and capture market share among the rapidly growing Latino population.”

“The transaction, if consummated, would increase concentration in an already highly concentrated industry led by ABI and SAB Miller,” the Institute said.

The Institute released a report last year — Global Beer: The Road to Monopoly? — arguing that this transaction would be the latest in a series of mergers that have created a duopoly in the U.S. beer market.

“It would eliminate an important independent brewer that has been a key driver of price and non-price competition in beer,” the Institute said. “The likely result of the transaction would be higher prices and reduced variety for U.S. beer drinkers.”

Americans spent at least $80 billion on beer last year.

According to the department, ABI’s Bud Light is the best selling beer in the United States and Modelo’s Corona Extra is the best-selling import.

Because of the size of the beer market in the United States, even a small increase in the price of beer could result in billions of dollars of harm to American consumers, the department said.

The department’s lawsuit, filed in the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia, seeks to prevent the companies from merging and to preserve the existing head-to-head competition between the firms that the transaction would eliminate.

“The department is taking this action to stop a merger between major beer brewers because it would result in less competition and higher beer prices for American consumers,” said Bill Baer, Assistant Attorney General in charge of the Department of Justice’s Antitrust Division.  “If ABI fully owned and controlled Modelo, ABI would be able to increase beer prices to American consumers.  This lawsuit seeks to prevent ABI from eliminating Modelo as an important competitive force in the beer industry.”   

ABI and Modelo–the largest and third largest beer firms, respectively–together control about 46 percent of annual sales in the United States.

MillerCoors, the second largest beer firm, accounts for about 29 percent of nationwide sales.

Beer is generally grouped into four distinct segments by industry participants — sub-premium, premium, premium plus and high-end.

The sub-premium segment includes: Busch (owned by ABI); and Keystone (owned by MillerCoors).

The premium segment includes:  Bud Light; Coors Light; and MillerLite.

The premium plus segment includes:  Michelob (owned by ABI); and Modelo Especial (owned by Modelo).

The high-end segment includes: imports such as Corona (owned by Modelo) and Heineken; and a variety of craft beers.

According to the department’s complaint, the U.S. beer market is already highly concentrated, and prices are increased by strategic interactions among the largest brewers, including ABI and MillerCoors.

ABI generally acts as the price leader, implementing annual price increases in the sub-premium, premium and premium plus segments of the U.S. beer industry.

MillerCoors and other brewers have typically joined the ABI price increases, while Modelo has not.

By pricing aggressively, Modelo — through its importer, Crown Imports — puts pressure on ABI to maintain or lower prices, especially in certain parts of the country.

As a result, Modelo has become a particularly important competitor in the U.S. market, the Department said.

The complaint quotes internal company documents demonstrating both ABI’s determination to maintain its upward price leadership in the U.S. beer industry and Modelo’s present-day position as a significant competitive threat to ABI.

ABI has implemented a “conduct plan,” whereby ABI hopes to establish “the highest level of [price] followership” by its large rivals by being as “consistent,” “simple” and “transparent” as possible.

ABI believes that its conduct plan provides the highest possibility of “sustaining a price increase” and “ensuring competition does not believe they can take share through pricing.”

By contrast, Modelo’s pricing strategy in the United States is known as the “momentum plan” and aims to narrow the “price gap” between Modelo’s imports and domestic premium beers, such as ABI’s Bud Light, stealing market share from ABI by enticing consumers to “trade up” to Modelo beer.

ABI executives acknowledge that Modelo has “put increasing pressure” on ABI competitively, and that Modelo’s strategy is at odds with ABI’s well-established practice of leading prices upward with the expectation that its competitors will follow.

The complaint also discusses ABI’s efforts to target Corona.  

ABI considered Corona to be a significant threat, and launched Bud Light Lime in 2008 to compete with Corona.

ABI went as far as to mimic Corona’s distinctive clear bottle.

Ultimately, instead of trying to compete head-to-head with its own product, Bud Light Lime, ABI is thwarting competition by buying Modelo, the Department said.

The department alleges that ABI’s acquisition of total ownership and control of Modelo would eliminate the existing competition between ABI and Modelo, further concentrating the beer industry, enhancing ABI’s market power and facilitating coordinated pricing between ABI and the remaining large players.  

Consumers would, as a result, see higher prices and less innovation.

The department’s complaint also alleges that ABI and Modelo efforts to remedy the anticompetitive aspects of their transaction are inadequate.  

The complaint states that ABI has agreed to sell Modelo’s existing 50 percent interest in Crown to its Crown joint venture partner, Constellation.

ABI would also enter into an exclusive agreement to supply Constellation with Modelo beer to import into the United States, although ABI can terminate this supply agreement after 10 years and would retain the Modelo brands and its brewing and bottling facilities.

“The companies’ attempt to fix this anticompetitive deal through t he sale of Modelo’s existing interest in Crown and a temporary supply agreement is not sufficient to prevent consumer harm from ABI’s acquisition of its competitor, Modelo,” said Baer.

The complaint alleges that the combined effect of the proposed acquisition of Modelo and the proposed fix is to eliminate from the marketplace a sophisticated brewing firm with a long history of success and replace it with an importer which will own no brands or brewing facilities and be totally dependent on ABI for its supply of Corona and other Modelo brands.  

The documents in the case show that as Crown’s CEO wrote to his employees after the acquisition was announced:  “our #1 competitor will now be our supplier…it is not currently or will not, going forward, be ‘business as usual.’”

The department’s complaint alleges that not only will competition be harmed by the loss of Modelo as a competitor, but by removing an independent brewer–Modelo–from the market, strategically coordinated pricing will become easier in the future.

ABI is a Belgian corporation with its principal place of business in Leuven, Belgium.  In 2011, ABI had revenues of approximately $39 billion.

ABI currently has a 43 percent voting interest and a 50.35 percent economic interest in Modelo.  ABI has stated in its annual reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission that it does not have voting or other effective control of Modelo.

Through the proposed acquisition, ABI would acquire control of, and the remaining economic interest in Modelo.

Modelo is a Mexican corporation with its principal place of business in Mexico City.  In 2011, Modelo had revenues of approximately $7 billion.

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